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The forecasting performance of mortality models

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Publication:1633273
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DOI10.1007/s10182-011-0186-xzbMath1443.62353OpenAlexW2156448386MaRDI QIDQ1633273

Hendrik Hansen

Publication date: 19 December 2018

Published in: AStA. Advances in Statistical Analysis (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10182-011-0186-x


zbMATH Keywords

Monte Carlo simulationLee-Carter modelmortality forecastingBrass model


Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Applications of statistics to actuarial sciences and financial mathematics (62P05) Mathematical geography and demography (91D20) Actuarial mathematics (91G05)



Uses Software

  • forecast
  • Demography
  • Human Mortality


Cites Work

  • Unnamed Item
  • University student enrollment forecasts by analyzing structural ratios using ARIMA-methods
  • Bayesian Poisson log-bilinear mortality projections
  • A parameterized approach to modeling and forecasting mortality
  • A Poisson log-bilinear regression approach to the construction of projected lifetables.
  • Applied mathematical demography
  • Evaluating and extending the Lee\,-\,Carter model for mortality forecasting: bootstrap confidence interval
  • Uncertainty in mortality projections: an actuarial perspective




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