Two information aggregation mechanisms for predicting the opening weekend box office revenues of films: boxoffice prophecy and guess of guesses

DOI10.1007/S00199-017-1036-1zbMath1398.91104OpenAlexW2288638793MaRDI QIDQ1695307

Jordi McKenzie, Charles R. Plott, David Court, Benjamin J. Gillen

Publication date: 7 February 2018

Published in: Economic Theory (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://resolver.caltech.edu/CaltechAUTHORS:20160222-140722119

zbMATH Keywords

experimentmechanism designinformation aggregationprediction marketbox officefield test

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Other game-theoretic models (91A40) Economic models of real-world systems (e.g., electricity markets, etc.) (91B74) Experimental studies (91A90)

Cites Work

• Parimutuel betting markets as information aggregation devices: experimental results
• Rational exaggeration and counter-exaggeration in information aggregation games
• Asymptotic calibration
• Does Belief Heterogeneity Explain Asset Prices: The Case of the Longshot Bias

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