Coherent combination of experts' opinions. (With discussion)

DOI10.1007/BF02562628zbMath0844.62002MaRDI QIDQ1914741

Morris H. DeGroot, A. Philip Dawid, Julia Mortera

Publication date: 1 September 1996

Published in: Test (Search for Journal in Brave)

zbMATH Keywords

coherencecompatibilitylinear opinion poolcombining opinionsexperts' opinionslogarithmic opinion poolsharmonic opinion pooljoint forecast distribution

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Foundations and philosophical topics in statistics (62A01) Statistical decision theory (62C99)

Related Items (18)

SUPPORT FOR GEOMETRIC POOLING ⋮ Extremizing and Antiextremizing in Bayesian Ensembles of Binary-Event Forecasts ⋮ Regularized Aggregation of One-Off Probability Predictions ⋮ Combining predictive distributions ⋮ Combining probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States ⋮ Bounds on the probability of radically different opinions ⋮ Combining expert probabilities using the product of odds ⋮ A population's feasible posterior beliefs ⋮ A combinatorial proof of the Burdzy-Pitman conjecture ⋮ On the pragmatic and epistemic virtues of inference to the best explanation ⋮ Multivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting ⋮ On individual risk ⋮ Dynamic Bayesian predictive synthesis in time series forecasting ⋮ Resolving some contradictions in the theory of linear opinion pools. ⋮ The maximal difference among expert's opinions ⋮ Aggregating expert judgement ⋮ Learning from others: conditioning versus averaging ⋮ Can Coherent Predictions be Contradictory?

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