Scoring rules and the evaluation of probabilities. (With discussion)

DOI10.1007/BF02562681zbMath0848.62001OpenAlexW2027216529MaRDI QIDQ1919718

Robert L. Winkler

Publication date: 24 July 1996

Published in: Test (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1007/bf02562681

zbMATH Keywords

probability forecastsscoring rulesprobability assessmentattributes of good probabilitiesdecomposition of expected scoresevaluation of probabilities

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Bayesian problems; characterization of Bayes procedures (62C10) Foundations and philosophical topics in statistics (62A01)

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Cites Work

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• The Well-Calibrated Bayesian
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• Evaluating Probabilities: Asymmetric Scoring Rules
• Probabilistic Prediction
• Elicitation of Personal Probabilities and Expectations
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