Predicting COVID-19 using past pandemics as a guide: how reliable were mathematical models then, and how reliable will they be now?

zbMath1471.92298MaRDI QIDQ1979609

Christian Costris-Vas, Elissa J. Schwartz, Robert J. Smith?

Publication date: 3 September 2021

Published in: Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering (Search for Journal in Brave)

zbMATH Keywords

SARSreproduction numberMERSCOVID-19H1N1

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30) Mathematical modeling or simulation for problems pertaining to biology (92-10)

Cites Work

• The failure of \(R_{0}\)
• Modelling the transmission dynamics and control of the novel 2009 swine influenza (H1N1) pandemic
• Modeling contact tracing in outbreaks with application to Ebola
• Controlling emerging infectious diseases like SARS
• SARS outbreaks in Ontario, Hong Kong and Singapore: the role of diagnosis and isolation as a control mechanism
• The effect of global travel on the spread of SARS
• A model of the Ebola epidemics in West Africa incorporating age of infection

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