Yule-Simpson's paradox: the probabilistic versus the empirical conundrum

DOI10.1007/s10260-020-00536-4zbMath1480.62012OpenAlexW3043465092MaRDI QIDQ2059112

Aris Spanos

Publication date: 13 December 2021

Published in: Statistical Methods and Applications (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10260-020-00536-4

zbMATH Keywords

Simpson's paradoxconfoundingcolliderspurious correlationmisspecification testingstatistical misspecificationmediatorassociation reversalDAG modelsgraphical causal modelsprobabilistic versus empirical paradoxesstatistical versus substantive adequacythird entityuntrustworthy evidence

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Foundations and philosophical topics in statistics (62A01)

Cites Work

• Asymptotic methods in statistical decision theory
• The role of exchangeability in inference
• Causation, prediction, and search
• A frequentist interpretation of probability for model-based inductive inference
• Homogeneity of Subpopulations and Simpson's Paradox
• Conditioning and Intervening
• Yule's Association Paradox and Ignored Stratum Heterogeneity in Capture-Recapture Studies
• Simpson's Paradox and Related Phenomena
• Probability Theory and Statistical Inference
• On Simpson's Paradox and the Sure-Thing Principle
• Resurrecting the Third Variable: A Critique of Pearl's Causal Analysis of Simpson's Paradox
• Comment: Understanding Simpson’s Paradox
• Comment: A Fruitful Resolution to Simpson’s Paradox via Multiresolution Inference
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