The ex post accuracy of subjective beliefs: a new measure and decomposition

DOI10.1016/J.ECONLET.2021.110160zbMath1480.91085OpenAlexW3214748115MaRDI QIDQ2069954

Ralph Stinebrickner, Thomas F. Crossley, Yifan Gong, Todd Stinebrickner

Publication date: 21 January 2022

Published in: Economics Letters (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2021.110160

zbMATH Keywords

uncertaintyincome expectationsprobabilistic expectations data

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Decision theory (91B06)

Cites Work

• Modeling college major choices using elicited measures of expectations and counterfactuals
• Using Expectations Data To Study Subjective Income Expectations
• Rationalizing rational expectations: Characterizations and tests
• Uncertainty about future income: Initial beliefs and resolution during college
• Measuring Expectations

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