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A simple model for how the risk of pandemics from different virus families depends on viral and human traits

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Publication:2118478
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DOI10.1016/j.mbs.2021.108732zbMath1486.92220OpenAlexW3214626352WikidataQ113293474 ScholiaQ113293474MaRDI QIDQ2118478

Julia Doelger, Mehran Kardar, Arup K. Chakraborty

Publication date: 22 March 2022

Published in: Mathematical Biosciences (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mbs.2021.108732


zbMATH Keywords

infectious disease modelingpandemic riskvirus evolutionfitness distributionspandemic inflection timeviral key traits


Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30) Problems related to evolution (92D15)




Cites Work

  • Mathematical epidemiology.
  • A mathematical model for the global spread of influenza
  • Estimating initial epidemic growth rates
  • A method for assessing the global spread of HIV‐1 infection based on air travel


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