Testing the effectiveness of debiasing techniques to reduce overprecision in the elicitation of subjective continuous probability distributions

DOI10.1016/j.ejor.2022.04.008OpenAlexW4224118508MaRDI QIDQ2171611

Valentina Ferretti, Gilberto Montibeller, Detlof von Winterfeldt

Publication date: 9 September 2022

Published in: European Journal of Operational Research (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2022.04.008

zbMATH Keywords

behavioral ORoverconfidencedebiasingexpert judgmentjudgment calibrationoverprecision

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Operations research and management science (90Bxx)

Cites Work

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• A Belief-Based Account of Decision Under Uncertainty
• Information Theory and Statistical Mechanics
• Scoring Rules for Continuous Probability Distributions
• Decomposed Versus Holistic Estimates of Effort Required for Software Writing Tasks

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