Accounting for uncertainty about past values in probabilistic projections of the total fertility rate for most countries

DOI10.1214/19-AOAS1294zbMath1446.62280arXiv1806.01513OpenAlexW3037095558MaRDI QIDQ2194458

Peiran Liu, Adrian E. Raftery

Publication date: 26 August 2020

Published in: The Annals of Applied Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1806.01513

zbMATH Keywords

Markov chain Monte Carlomeasurement errorBayesian hierarchical modeltotal fertility ratepopulation projectionvital registration

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Applications of statistics to biology and medical sciences; meta analysis (62P10) Reliability and life testing (62N05) Paired and multiple comparisons; multiple testing (62J15)

Uses Software

• bayesDem
• bayesPop
• bayesLife
• bayesTFR
• Gibbsit

Cites Work

• Bayesian population projections for the united nations
• Slice sampling. (With discussions and rejoinder)
• Inference from iterative simulation using multiple sequences
• Unnamed Item

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