Are professional forecasters Bayesian?

DOI10.1016/J.JEDC.2020.104045zbMath1478.62010OpenAlexW3124630817MaRDI QIDQ2246688

Sebastiano Manzan

Publication date: 16 November 2021

Published in: Journal of Economic Dynamics \& Control (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2020.104045

zbMATH Keywords

outputforecastsinflation in response to macroeconomic news

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Applications of statistics to economics (62P20) Inference from stochastic processes and prediction (62M20) Bayesian problems; characterization of Bayes procedures (62C10) Foundations and philosophical topics in statistics (62A01)

Related Items (1)

Can we estimate macroforecasters' mis-behavior?

Cites Work

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• How Informative are the Subjective Density Forecasts of Macroeconomists?
• Sticky Information versus Sticky Prices: A Proposal to Replace the New Keynesian Phillips Curve
• An Axiomatic Model of Non-Bayesian Updating

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