FINITE-SAMPLE PROPERTIES OF FORECASTS FROM THE STATIONARY FIRST-ORDER AUTOREGRESSIVE MODEL UNDER A GENERAL ERROR DISTRIBUTION
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Publication:2886966
DOI10.1017/S0266466607070338zbMath1237.62128OpenAlexW2144183724MaRDI QIDQ2886966
Publication date: 14 May 2012
Published in: Econometric Theory (Search for Journal in Brave)
Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1017/s0266466607070338
Inference from stochastic processes and prediction (62M20) Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH) (62M10) Robustness and adaptive procedures (parametric inference) (62F35) Stationary stochastic processes (60G10)
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Estimation bias and feasible conditional forecasts from the first-order moving average model ⋮ Multi‐step forecasting in the presence of breaks ⋮ Variable selection, estimation and inference for multi-period forecasting problems
Cites Work
- Predictors for the first-order autoregressive process
- The exact multi-period mean-square forecast error for the first-order autoregressive model
- The sampling distribution of forecasts from a first-order autoregression
- Unbiasedness of Predictions from Estimated Autoregressions when the True Order is Unknown
- The Bias and Moment Matrix of the General k-Class Estimators of the Parameters in Simultaneous Equations
- The prediction error of stationary Gaussian time series of unknown covariance
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