Memoirs of an indifferent trader: Estimating forecast distributions from prediction markets

DOI10.3982/QE6zbMath1207.91048MaRDI QIDQ3062238

Joyce E. Berg, Thomas A. Rietz, John F. Geweke

Publication date: 3 January 2011

Published in: Quantitative Economics (Search for Journal in Brave)

zbMATH Keywords

forecastingprobability distributionsBayesian estimationinformation systems analysis and designIowa electronic markets

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Statistical methods; economic indices and measures (91B82)

Related Items (1)

Improving prediction market forecasts by detecting and correcting possible over-reaction to price movements

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