The promise of pick-the-winners contests for producing crowd probability forecasts

DOI10.1007/s11238-015-9533-9zbMath1378.91095OpenAlexW2216813495MaRDI QIDQ333444

Phillip E. Pfeifer

Publication date: 31 October 2016

Published in: Theory and Decision (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11238-015-9533-9

zbMATH Keywords

estimationprobabilitycalibration

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Applications of statistics to social sciences (62P25) Auctions, bargaining, bidding and selling, and other market models (91B26)

Related Items (2)

Extracting the collective wisdom in probabilistic judgments ⋮ The Promise of Prediction Contests

Uses Software

• Excel

Cites Work

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• Optimal Strategies for Sports Betting Pools
• Modifying Variability and Correlations in Winner-Take-All Contests
• The Wisdom of Competitive Crowds
• The Promise of Prediction Contests

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