Bayesian modelling of football outcomes: using the Skellam's distribution for the goal difference
From MaRDI portal
Publication:3395674
DOI10.1093/IMAMAN/DPN026zbMath1169.91420OpenAlexW1997833100MaRDI QIDQ3395674
Dimitris Karlis, Ioannis Ntzoufras
Publication date: 13 September 2009
Published in: IMA Journal of Management Mathematics (Search for Journal in Brave)
Full work available at URL: https://semanticscholar.org/paper/76e4518a24a0cfd7b96a42a2405fd2a70b057f8f
Related Items (32)
A new continuous distribution on the unit interval applied to modelling the points ratio of football teams ⋮ A probabilistic model for explaining the points achieved by a team in football competition: forecasting and regression with applications to the Spanish league ⋮ An analytical approach to determine the window fill rate in a repair shop with cannibalization ⋮ Predicting match outcomes in association football using team ratings and player ratings ⋮ Signed compound poisson integer-valued GARCH processes ⋮ Reference points for getting a target in a soccer competition. A probabilistic model with applications to the Spanish and English Premier League ⋮ An analytics approach to the FIFA ranking procedure and the World Cup final draw ⋮ An application of the generalized Poisson difference distribution to the Bayesian modelling of football scores ⋮ The role of passing network indicators in modeling football outcomes: an application using Bayesian hierarchical models ⋮ Estimation of final standings in football competitions with a premature ending: the case of COVID-19 ⋮ \( \mathbb{Z} \)-valued time series: models, properties and comparison ⋮ A Bayesian approach for a zero modified Poisson model to predict match outcomes applied to the 2012-13 La Liga season ⋮ How to improve a team's position in the FIFA ranking? A simulation study ⋮ Exploring and modelling team performances of the Kaggle European Soccer database ⋮ On some distributions arising from a generalized trivariate reduction scheme ⋮ The Effect of Customer Patience on Multiple-Location Inventory Systems ⋮ Modeling \(\mathbb{Z}\)-valued time series based on new versions of the Skellam INGARCH model ⋮ A new skew integer valued time series process ⋮ Discrete distributions based on inter arrival times with application to football data ⋮ An Extended Binomial Distribution with Applications ⋮ Bivariate Poisson models with varying offsets: an application to the paired mitochondrial DNA dataset ⋮ Probit transformation for kernel density estimation on the unit interval ⋮ Modeling and pricing longevity derivatives using Skellam distribution ⋮ A parametric time series model with covariates for integers in Z ⋮ A Bayesian approach for zero-modified Skellam model with Hamiltonian MCMC ⋮ A parametric study for the first-order signed integer-valued autoregressive process ⋮ Combining historical data and bookmakers’ odds in modelling football scores ⋮ An analysis of Chinese Super League partial results ⋮ On improving the posterior predictive distribution of the difference between two independent Poisson distribution ⋮ A discrete analog of Gumbel distribution: properties, parameter estimation and applications ⋮ Discovering associations between players' performance indicators and matches' results in the European Soccer Leagues ⋮ A discrete probability model suitable for both symmetric and asymmetric count data
This page was built for publication: Bayesian modelling of football outcomes: using the Skellam's distribution for the goal difference