Optimal Reporting of Predictions

DOI10.2307/2289866zbMath0676.62004OpenAlexW4236483740MaRDI QIDQ3831847

Morris H. DeGroot, M. J. Bayarri

Publication date: 1989

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.2307/2289866

zbMATH Keywords

utility functionsexpert opinionBayesian updatinglinear opinion poolsubjective probability assessmentstrictly proper scoring rulesoptimal reporting strategiesgaining weightposterior weight

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Bayesian inference (62F15) Bayesian problems; characterization of Bayes procedures (62C10)

Related Items (2)

Bayesian learning for a class of priors with prescribed marginals ⋮ The value of a probability forecast from portfolio theory

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