Estimating the Probability of Events That Have Never Occurred: When Is Your Vote Decisive?
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Publication:3839570
DOI10.2307/2669597zbMath0920.62005OpenAlexW3122305703MaRDI QIDQ3839570
Gary King, W. John Boscardin, Andrew Gelman
Publication date: 21 September 1999
Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.2307/2669597
conditional probabilitysubjective probabilitydecision analysisrational choicevoting powerrare eventelectionpresidential electionelectoral campaigningpolitical science forecasting
Inference from stochastic processes and prediction (62M20) Applications of statistics to social sciences (62P25) Foundations and philosophical topics in statistics (62A01) Applications of statistics (62P99)
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