Self-exciting point process models for political conflict forecasting

DOI10.1017/S095679251700033XzbMath1415.91248MaRDI QIDQ4581347

Annelise Hitchman, Laura M. Smith, Nathan Johnson, Dang Phan

Publication date: 17 August 2018

Published in: European Journal of Applied Mathematics (Search for Journal in Brave)

zbMATH Keywords

point processesprediction theoryapplications to social sciences

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

History, political science (91F10) Point processes (e.g., Poisson, Cox, Hawkes processes) (60G55)

Cites Work

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• Maximum likelihood estimation of Hawkes' self-exciting point processes
• Density estimation
• Spatio-temporal patterns of IED usage by the Provisional Irish Republican Army
• Self-Exciting Point Process Modeling of Crime

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