Use and communication of probabilistic forecasts

DOI10.1002/SAM.11302OpenAlexW2110763107WikidataQ38690432 ScholiaQ38690432MaRDI QIDQ4970217

Adrian E. Raftery

Publication date: 14 October 2020

Published in: Statistical Analysis and Data Mining: The ASA Data Science Journal (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1408.4812

zbMATH Keywords

uncertaintydecision theorycalibrationriskcognitive research

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Statistics (62-XX) Computer science (68-XX)

Related Items (1)

Predictive Inference Based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo Output

Uses Software

• UNAIDS
• bayesDem
• bayesPop
• bayesLife
• bayesTFR

Cites Work

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• Bayesian population projections for the united nations
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• Advances in prospect theory: cumulative representation of uncertainty
• Estimating uncertainty in the revised universal soil loss equation via bayesian~melding
• Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk
• Inference for Deterministic Simulation Models: The Bayesian Melding Approach
• Inference from a Deterministic Population Dynamics Model for Bowhead Whales
• Probabilistic Forecasts, Calibration and Sharpness
• ON THE USE OF MATRICES IN CERTAIN POPULATION MATHEMATICS

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