Evaluating Real-Time Probabilistic Forecasts With Application to National Basketball Association Outcome Prediction

DOI10.1080/00031305.2021.1967781OpenAlexW3193519638MaRDI QIDQ5050829

Gregory Rice, Joel A. Dubin, Chi-Kuang Yeh

Publication date: 18 November 2022

Published in: The American Statistician (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/2010.00781

zbMATH Keywords

calibrationfunctional dataprobability forecastingbrier scoreskill score

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Statistics (62-XX)

Cites Work

• Unnamed Item
• Evaluating probability forecasts
• Interval estimation for a binomial proportion. (With comments and a rejoinder).
• Nested forecast model comparisons: a new approach to testing equal accuracy
• Combining Probability Forecasts
• On Testing the Validity of Sequential Probability Forecasts
• Probabilistic Forecasts, Calibration and Sharpness
• Computing the distribution of quadratic forms in normal variables
• On Information and Sufficiency

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