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OPTIMAL UNCERTAINTY QUANTIFICATION OF A RISK MEASUREMENT FROM A THERMAL-HYDRAULIC CODE USING CANONICAL MOMENTS - MaRDI portal

OPTIMAL UNCERTAINTY QUANTIFICATION OF A RISK MEASUREMENT FROM A THERMAL-HYDRAULIC CODE USING CANONICAL MOMENTS

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Publication:5052386

DOI10.1615/INT.J.UNCERTAINTYQUANTIFICATION.2020030800zbMATH Open1498.76074arXiv1901.07903OpenAlexW3001995608WikidataQ126303277 ScholiaQ126303277MaRDI QIDQ5052386

Jérôme Stenger, Merlin Keller, F. Gamboa, B. Iooss

Publication date: 24 November 2022

Published in: International Journal for Uncertainty Quantification (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: We study an industrial computer code related to nuclear safety. A major topic of interest is to assess the uncertainties tainting the results of a computer simulation. In this work we gain robustness on the quantification of a risk measurement by accounting for all sources of uncertainties tainting the inputs of a computer code. To that extent, we evaluate the maximum quantile over a class of distributions defined only by constraints on their moments. Two options are available when dealing with such complex optimization problems: one can either optimize under constraints; or preferably, one should reformulate the objective function. We identify a well suited parameterization to compute the optimal quantile based on the theory of canonical moments. It allows an effective, free of constraints, optimization.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1901.07903






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