Predicting rainy seasons: quantifying the beliefs of prophets

DOI10.1080/02664760903301168OpenAlexW2055804927WikidataQ58420691 ScholiaQ58420691MaRDI QIDQ5124747

John Paul Gosling, José A. A. Andrade

Publication date: 30 September 2020

Published in: Journal of Applied Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1080/02664760903301168

zbMATH Keywords

elicitationKumaraswamy distributionrain prophetsBrazilian climateseasonal weather

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Statistics (62-XX)

Related Items (3)

Expert knowledge elicitation using item response theory ⋮ Exact posterior computation for the binomial-Kumaraswamy model ⋮ Elicitation of the Parameters of Multiple Linear Models

Cites Work

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• Talking probabilities: Communicating probabilistic information with words and numbers
• Measurement Errors in Probability Judgments
• Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities

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