On the abrupt change of the maximum likelihood state in a simplified stochastic thermohaline circulation system

DOI10.1063/5.0037083zbMATH Open1458.86007arXiv2012.02963OpenAlexW3129959241MaRDI QIDQ5858731

Xu Sun, Fang Yang, Jinqiao Duan

Publication date: 14 April 2021

Published in: Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: The maximum likelihood state for a simplified stochastic thermohaline circulation model is investigated. It is shown that a jump occurs for the maximum likelihood state during transitions between two metastable states. The jump helps to explain the mechanism of the abrupt change in the climate systems as revealed by various climate records.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/2012.02963

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Stochastic ordinary differential equations (aspects of stochastic analysis) (60H10) Diffusion processes (60J60) Applications of Brownian motions and diffusion theory (population genetics, absorption problems, etc.) (60J70) Climate science and climate modeling (86A08)

Cites Work

• Title not available (Why is that?)
• On dynamics of the maximum likelihood states in nonequilibrium systems
• Nonlinear climate dynamics
• Dynamical inference for transitions in stochastic systems withα-stable Lévy noise

Related Items (3)

Impact of \(\alpha\)-stable Lévy noise on the Stommel model for the thermohaline circulation ⋮ Computing probability density of the first passage time for state transition in stochastic dynamical systems driven by Brownian motions: a singular integral method ⋮ Most probable trajectories in a two-dimensional tumor-immune system under stochastic perturbation

Uses Software

• GitHub

This page was built for publication: On the abrupt change of the maximum likelihood state in a simplified stochastic thermohaline circulation system

Report a bug (only for logged in users!)Click here to report a bug for this page (MaRDI item Q5858731)