Expert Knowledge Elicitation: Subjective but Scientific

DOI10.1080/00031305.2018.1518265OpenAlexW2924337219MaRDI QIDQ5868228

Anthony O'Hagan

Publication date: 20 September 2022

Published in: The American Statistician (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1080/00031305.2018.1518265

zbMATH Keywords

SHELFheuristicssubjective probabilitycognitive biaselaborationelicitation protocolfacilitatorindependence in subjective distributionsrational impartial observer

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Statistics (62-XX)

Related Items (9)

Rule-based Bayesian regression ⋮ A Statistical Basis for Reporting Strength of Evidence as Pool Reduction ⋮ Certified Dimension Reduction for Bayesian Updating with the Cross-Entropy Method ⋮ Some models are useful, but how do we know which ones? Towards a unified Bayesian model taxonomy ⋮ Comment: ``Bayes, oracle Bayes, and empirical Bayes ⋮ Elicitation of the Parameters of Multiple Linear Models ⋮ Moving to a World Beyond “p < 0.05” ⋮ Quality Control for Scientific Research: Addressing Reproducibility, Responsiveness, and Relevance ⋮ Methods for Eliciting Informative Prior Distributions: A Critical Review

Uses Software

• SHELF

Cites Work

• Elicitation. The science and art of structuring judgement
• Uncertainty Analysis with High Dimensional Dependence Modelling
• Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities
• The Role of Expert Judgment in Statistical Inference and Evidence-Based Decision-Making
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