Reference Class Forecasting: Resolving Its Challenge to Statistical Modeling

DOI10.1080/00031305.2014.937544OpenAlexW2055016109WikidataQ58257380 ScholiaQ58257380MaRDI QIDQ5877673

Robert F. Bordley

Publication date: 15 February 2023

Published in: The American Statistician (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1080/00031305.2014.937544

zbMATH Keywords

healthcareprobabilityinferencecomputer experimentsBayesian methodsapplications and case studies

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Statistics (62-XX)

Uses Software

• KernSmooth

Cites Work

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• A similarity-based approach to prediction
• Modelling Under Risk and Uncertainty
• ASYMPTOTIC THEORY FOR EMPIRICAL SIMILARITY MODELS
• A perspective on variance reduction in dynamic simulation experiments
• Applying Bayesian ideas in simulation
• Probabilities as Similarity-Weighted Frequencies

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