Bernoulli's golden theorem in retrospect: error probabilities and trustworthy evidence

DOI10.1007/s11229-021-03405-zzbMath1528.60008OpenAlexW3209166361MaRDI QIDQ6180160

Aris Spanos

Publication date: 19 January 2024

Published in: Synthese (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11229-021-03405-z

zbMATH Keywords

law of large numberserror probabilitiesBayes' rule\(p\) valueeffect sizesBernoulli's golden theoremBernoulli's swindledirect versus inverse inferencefactual versus hypothetical reasoningstraight rule

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Axioms; other general questions in probability (60A05)

Cites Work

• Error statistical modeling and inference: where methodology meets ontology
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• Asymptotic methods in statistical decision theory
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• IX. On the problem of the most efficient tests of statistical hypotheses
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• Severe Testing as a Basic Concept in a Neyman–Pearson Philosophy of Induction
• New Methods for Reasoning Towards Posterior Distributions Based on Sample Data
• Outline of a Theory of Statistical Estimation Based on the Classical Theory of Probability
• Moving to a World Beyond “p < 0.05”
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