How network properties and epidemic parameters influence stochastic SIR dynamics on scale-free random networks
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Publication:6354219
arXiv2011.10595MaRDI QIDQ6354219
Mattia Sensi, Ozan Kahramanoğulları, Sara Sottile
Publication date: 20 November 2020
Abstract: With the premise that social interactions are described by power-law distributions, we study a SIR stochastic dynamic on a static scale-free random network generated via configuration model. We verify our model with respect to deterministic considerations and provide a theoretical result on the probability of the extinction of the disease. Based on this calibration, we explore the variability in disease spread by stochastic simulations. In particular, we demonstrate how important epidemic indices change as a function of the contagiousness of the disease and the connectivity of the network. Our results quantify the role of starting node degree in determining these indices, commonly used to describe epidemic spread.
Has companion code repository: https://github.com/SaraSottile/StochasticSIRnetwork
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