Applications of the bias-variance decomposition to human forecasting

DOI10.1016/J.JMP.2020.102417zbMath1455.91196OpenAlexW3036630085MaRDI QIDQ826896

Stephen B. Broomell, Patrick Bodilly Kane

Publication date: 6 January 2021

Published in: Journal of Mathematical Psychology (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmp.2020.102417

zbMATH Keywords

forecastingstatistical modelsbias-variance decompositionjudgmentlens model

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Memory and learning in psychology (91E40) Applications of statistics to psychology (62P15)

Uses Software

• ElemStatLearn

Cites Work

• Naïve heuristics for paired comparisons: some results on their relative accuracy
• Why are experts correlated? Decomposing correlations between judges
• Forecast aggregation via recalibration
• Categorization with limited resources: A family of simple heuristics

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