Calibration-based empirical probability
type: Item
instance of: scholarly article
title: Calibration-based empirical probability
zbMATH Open document ID: 0587.60002
published in: The Annals of Statistics
publication date: 1985-01-01T00:00:00Z
review text: The paper gives a general theory of empirical probability relative to an informal base. Since this theory does not require that probabilities be interpreted in terms of repeated trials of the same event, it can be seen as a new generalization of traditional frequentist interpretations of probability. The main result of the investigation shows that any two sequences of forecasts which both meet a natural criterion of empirical validity must be in asymptotic agreement. Finally one can find a commentary of M. J. Schervish on the main theorems, and a short answer of the author.
Mathematics Subject Classification ID: 60A05
Mathematics Subject Classification ID: 03D10
zbMATH DE Number: 3942587
zbMATH Keywords: empirical probability
zbMATH Keywords: frequentist interpretations of probability
zbMATH Keywords: forecasts
author: A. Philip Dawid
MaRDI profile type: Publication
Wikidata QID: Q59632035
full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1176349736
OpenAlex ID: W2165799395
DOI: 10.1214/AOS/1176349736
description: scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3942587