Coronavirus prevalence in Brazilian Amazon and Sao Paulo city
type: Item
instance of: data set
description: SARS-CoV-2 spread rapidly in the Brazilian Amazon. Mortality was elevated, despite the young population, with the health services and cemeteries overwhelmed. The attack rate in this region is an estimate of the final epidemic size in an unmitigated epidemic. Here we show that by June, one month after the epidemic peak in Manaus, capital of the Amazonas state, 44% of the population had detectable IgG antibodies. This equates to a cumulative incidence of 52% after correcting for the false-negative rate of the test. Further correcting for the effect of antibody waning we estimate that the final attack rate was 66%. This is higher than seen in other settings, but lower than the predicted final size for an unmitigated epidemic in a homogeneously mixed population. This discrepancy may be accounted for by population structure as well as some limited physical distancing and non-pharmaceutical measures adopted in the city.
publication date: 2020-12-08T00:00:00Z
author: Tassila Salomon
author: Oliver Pybus
author: Rafael França
author: Marcia Castro
author: Ester Cerdeira Sabino
author: Christopher Dye
author: Michael Busch
author: Moritz U. G. Kraemer
author: Charles Whittaker
author: Andreza Santos
author: Nuno Faria
author: Rafael Henrique Moraes Pereira
author: Lewis Buss
author: Carlos A. Prete Jr.
author: Claudia Abrahim
author: Maria Carvalho
author: Allyson Costa
author: Manoel Barral-Netto
author: Crispim Myuki
author: Brian Custer
author: Cesar de Almeida-Neto
author: Suzete Ferreira
author: Nelson Fraiji
author: Susie Gurzenda
author: Leonardo Kamaura
author: Alfredo Mendrone Junior
author: Vitor Nascimento
author: Anna Nishiya
author: Marcio Oikawa
author: Vanderson Rocha
author: Nanci Salles
author: Martirene Silva
author: Pedro Takecian
author: Maria Belotti
Zenodo ID: 4311524
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.4311524
MaRDI profile type: Dataset
description: Dataset published at Zenodo repository.